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Bet at home betting tips best book on sports betting

Bet at home betting tips

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WORLD CUP BETTING EXCEL SHEET

They are unique to the team, sport and league, and universal across most sportsbooks. Much like stocks on Wall Street, the sports betting market is fluid. Lines can vary based on the sportsbook, because different books have different clienteles. As a result, one book may post the Cavs -8 while another has Having access to more than one sportsbook allows you to shop for the best line.

Getting an extra half-point might not seem like a huge deal, but it adds up over the long haul and increases your chances of winning. Our live odds pages will automatically surface the best line for every game. These are all a good thing to know, and it can allow you to maximize your winnings. Check it out for free here. Sports Betting. Best Books. Action Network Staff. Download App. Read now. Action's Preferred Sportsbook. Bet Now. BetSync book. Get refunded in free bets if it loses.

Top Offers. Follow Us On Social. Sportsbook Reviews. Sports Betting Calculators. How to Bet On Sports. Betting Education. Top Stories. A presumably safe event can be picked as a bank, which means that this one pick the bank should appear in every single combination within the system bet.

If your bank pick is lost, the entire system bet loses, as there is no accumulator without this pick. However, if the bank pick actually wins, the chance of winning every system bet increases for all combinations — as they are primarily based on that one. With a Trixie system bet, you choose three events. This bet, then, results in an accumulator bet from the three events and three 2-way combinations see above.

In total, you are playing 4 bets with a Trixie. The Patent system bet only differs from the Trixie system bet, as in addition to the 4 bets mentioned above, a single bet is also played per event, i. You can place the Yankee bet after selecting 4 events. The Yankee system bet consists of six combinations of two, four combinations of three and one combination of four events. In total, you play 11 bets with a Yankee system bet.

The Lucky 15 is also similar to the Yankee bet described above, with the main difference being that a single bet is also placed on each event. For a Canadian system bet you need to select five events. The following system bets are formed from this pattern: ten combinations of two, ten combinations of three, five combinations of four and one combination of five events.

Lucky 31 is a Canadian system bet plus a single bet per selected event. This means that the Lucky 31 results in a total of 31 individual bets. With a Heinz system bet, you select six individual picks and can, thus, form the following combination bets: 15 combinations of two, 20 combinations of three, 15 combinations of four, six combinations of five and one combination of six events.

In total, you play 57 bets with a Heinz bet. The system bet Super Heinz puts one more on the Heinz system. So, seven events are necessary for the Super Heinz and result in the following combination options: 21 combinations of two, 35 combinations of three, 35 combinations of four, 21 combinations of five, seven combinations of six and one combination of seven events.

In total, you play bets with a Super Heinz. The Goliath system bet is the last special system bet that we want to go into in detail. Eight individual events are required for a Goliath system bet, forming the following combinations: 28 combinations of two, 56 combinations of three, 70 combinations of four, 56 combinations of five, 28 combinations of six, eight combinations of seven and one combination of eight. In total, the Goliath system bet results in bets. The following illustration gives you an overview of the most common system bets in sports betting.

In the column you can see the number of picks that are used for the system bet. The number of events per combination is shown on the row. These comprise the total number of bets that can be formed in the matrix.

If you want to combine many events with one another in order to raise the odds, the risk increases that one of the selected pick will fail. If a single event is lost in an accumulator bet, the entire betting slip is lost. In the case of a system bet, on the other hand, the remaining accumulator bets can be won despite a failed pick.

That means that with system bets, the possible odds decrease, but the real chance of winning actually increases. The handicap bet is certainly one of the most interesting in the betting market and can be used for almost all sports. Now, you can bet on a home win, a draw or an away win. If you want to bet on a home win for Dortmund with at least two goals difference, then you can opt for Borussia Dortmund Handicap bets are not only available for bets with just a 1 goal difference.

Especially in games with a clear favorite you will also see that 2 or 3 goals can be deducted or added to a team. Handicap bets are, of course, not just a football phenomenon. You can also bet on handicaps in hockey, basketball, American football and many other sports.

The number of points added or deducted is, of course, much higher in such sports than in football, because on average, significantly more points can be achieved during a game. Not all betting providers have Asian handicaps in their sportsbook, but this kind of bet is clearly on the rise. With Asian handicap, not only whole goals or points are deducted or added to a team, but also quarter points, half points or three quarters points, which in each case have different effects in relation the bet.

This might seem a little illogical at first glance, but we will explain it to you and you will learn to love the AHCs, after you experiment a little bit with them. Later in this page, we will also explain Asian over and under bets. The Asian handicap got its name because it was invented by an Indonesian bookmaker. The popularity of this type of bet began to increase in the early s, because it allows hedging towards different directions for the sports bettor.

The easiest way to illustrate the Asian handicap is with a table. Beneath the table, we are explaining in more detail what the quarter and three-quarter points are all about. In the top line of the table you can see the final result of the game, while on the left the different handicap variants. In relation to Asian handicaps with quarter and three-quarter steps, bets can also be won or lost with half the stake. The other half is returned to the player as cashback.

Specifically, these intermediate steps, which are unusual in European betting, mean nothing more than that your stake is divided between two betting outcomes. Therefore, if you play an AHC The odds for this bet in our example are 2. The game ends Take a soccer game as an example.

Here you can guess whether over 2. With a third goal the under bet is lost. For newbies sports bettors, the half goals will seem a bit strange, as there are no 2. Over 2. Especially, as far as the number of goals is concerned, in soccer you can bet on an over 5.

Depending on the course of the game, even higher outcomes can be bet in-play. The points given for basketball bets are of course higher, for example over or under How many goals are scored in a game? Is it three or more? Is it less than three? But what strategy should you use to win? Almost all betting providers offer statistics and direct comparisons before a duel between two teams or athletes. In most cases, however, they do not go far back into the past and leave the bettor with rather superficial information.

Generally, you can find statistics for the last five direct duels, as well as the last five games of the respective teams very quickly. Of course, the form of the day is important and also the last direct duels are not insignificant; but a tendency of how likely a high or low number of goals has occurred in previous match, is not necessarily left behind through these information.

To find out the actual scoring potential of two teams, you have to dig a little deeper. You should not only use the last few weeks as a benchmark, but a longer period of time! Thus, we have to take a larger sample than the one suggested by the betting providers with their rather superficial statistics. Rather, we should count how high the rate of over or under games was. A total of 46 goals were scored in these 18 games, which corresponds to an average goal of 2.

We are already above the magical limit of 2. In those 18 Milan home games, there were an average of three goals rather than fewer than three goals. However, there were some results that falsified this average because they were well above the 2.

For example a against Frosinone, a against Torino and a against Sassuolo. If we take a closer look on these 18 games and pick out those that actually noted three goals or more, we only get seven. It makes sense to count the number of overs and unders — but not to calculate the goal average. This can also be applied to home games, away games or all games. In addition, it makes perfect sense to consider these counts in relation to the competition. Depending on the sport, you should take a set number of games as a sample.

It also depends on how stretched the period is. If you use two whole seasons as a benchmark in football, this can also be counterproductive, especially if the squad of a team has changed. We generally suggest a sample of 15 to 30 games. To be even more precise, it could be narrowed to 20 to 30 games.

Of course, there are always situations or games where you can find a decent value in an under 1. As always, the same applies here: if you want to be even more secure with your bets, then go deeper. For example, the question of how a team approaches a game.

Do you try to score the first goal and then maintain the result in the best possible way? Or does a team go straight for the second goal once they lead Of course, it also makes sense to consider the current shape of a team and to take into account runs or phases of weakness; but, a closer look at the larger sample shows whether the team generally has the potential for many goals — towards the one direction or the other!

The bookmakers offer an average of 1. Well, nothing can go wrong here. There is no one hundred percent bet, because something unpredictable can always happen. A stupid goal conceded from a set piece and then a deep-laying opponent. An early red card. Not even after we put the value into the Kelly formula to calculate the ideal percentage bet from our bankroll:. According to this calculation, you should bet If you also consider now that Eventually, you will inevitably reach the conclusion that you are losing significantly more, than you can actually win.

A typical rookie mistake is to combine several games from this category. Think in a different direction: find a good over, an interesting under, maybe a handicap win that you probably believe in. Never stop analyzing your bets, calculate their value, do not deviate from your bankroll management. On the contrary: these are the bets that will crush you sooner or later. Limit yourself to the essentials, analyze thoroughly, do not overdo it with types of bets or the number of combined games.

The secret to accumulator and system bets is that absolutely every pick you put in is a value bet. As we have already mentioned with the Asian handicap bets, there is also the option of placing Asian over bets and under bets.

As with the handicaps, it is not only possible to bet on half steps, as with normal over and under bets, but also on whole steps, as well as quarter and three-quarter steps. The concept works in the same way as with the handicaps. In this table we give you an example of how your bet will be evaluated if you place an Asian over or under. Double chance is a type of bet in which two different outcomes of a game can result to a winning bet. In classic 3-way bets, one differentiates between 1X, 12 and X2.

Even if the odds for these bets are lower than a classic 3-way bet, the double chance is a good option to secure a bet. This type of bet works as follows:. Some betting providers offer bets in which the double chance is combined with another system bet. This bet would be lost, for example, with a win for the home team or a loss, because the visitor team also scored.

Draw-No-Bet is a bet in which there is no draw option. You bet on a winner, but get your stake back if the game ends in a draw. There are different abbreviations for the no draw bet: The most common abbreviation is DNB, but AHC0 or the written variant Asian Handicap 0, also represent this type of bet. This type of bet is therefore much safer than a 3-way bet. But what does that mean exactly?

With a system bet, such as an accumulator bet, you place on the outcome of several games, but with the difference that not all predictions have to work out in order to win the bet. For example, you can play the system 3 out of 5 or 4 out of 7, and the betting provider will then automatically make 10 or 35 bets in these cases; so that all combinations of the picks given are combined. These system bets can be modified by using banks. If you believe that an event or even several events will work out for sure, then you select them as a bank or banks into your system bet.

Now, this bank pick must absolutely be won, otherwise the entire bet is lost, regardless of whether everything else worked out in your system bet. The big advantage of a successfully played bank pick, however, is that every accumulator of the system bet is now multiplied by the odds of the bank! In summary, it can be stated that you must be very careful when you play system bets with a bank, because the other picks of the system bet become obsolete if your bank fails.

However, the use of correctly deployed banks can significantly increase the overall odds, which is why banks can be useful in sports betting. You have already acquired a basic knowledge of sports betting information and you will find further information on sports betting in this section.

First of all, we would like to recommend our article on bankroll management; there, you will find out how to manage the available money in your betting account in the most promising and clever way. In this section, our sports betting experts will share their knowledge with you; each individual article will only cost you a few minutes, but they can immediately make you a more experienced sports bettor.

It describes how you treat your available funds and how much of it you should use. Many professional bettors, which theoretically beat bookmakers in the long run, ultimately fail in practice due to poor bankroll management, which is why this topic is extremely important to us. The ability to apply good bankroll management and to hold onto it even in difficult times is perhaps the most important point for us, whenever we are being asked what makes a good sports bettor.

Solid bankroll management is an absolute requirement for professional bettors, but hobby gamers should also definitely strive to use good bankroll management system. Even if you only bet on certain games for entertainment, a strong bankroll management increases the chances that you will get out with a plus at the end of the day. Nonetheless, it is even more important that bankroll management protects the hobby players from losing all of their credit within a short period of time or even on one hit, which is one of the most unpleasant experiences for any betting companion.

Good bankroll management …. When it comes much money you want to set aside for betting on sporting events, everyone has to decide for themselves, as the financial possibilities differ greatly. But it is essential that you can actually afford the amount that you bet. We cannot emphasize how important it is that you choose an amount that you can afford to lose. The variance in sports betting can be very high and you will position yourself in a very sincere situation — if you actually need the bets for everyday life.

If you only want to bet just for fun, for example to make the outcome of a certain game more interesting, then it is also okay to set a monthly budget for this hobby. Even in this case, a good bankroll management would be recommended, but we understand the pure leisure bettor, who plays only small stakes and exclusively for fun and does not want to have the necessary discipline to follow a strict bankroll management.

However, if you take betting more seriously, it is an absolute prerequisite that you have a proper bankroll management in place and follow it in a disciplined manner. Bankroll management is the only way you have a realistic chance of generating nice profits in the long term. Your bankroll should be at least 50 units, with our recommendation being or even units.

We give the stake in units because every betting friend has a different bankroll. For example, if we were recommending an over bet, it would make no sense if we were to name a certain amount to bet on our tip, as that amount would be your entire bankroll for one player and 0.

With smaller stakes in percentage terms, you can also minimize the risk of being forced to change your strategy because your bankroll is shrinking threateningly. To start with, we recommend a bankroll of units. As discussed above, in extreme cases you can also use 50 units, especially if you can afford to deposit a new bankroll without any major problems.

If you want to be on the safe side, you can divide your bankroll into units. If, on the other hand, you have lost money, the unit size will also be smaller. How many units you want to risk per bet depends primarily on the risk of the bet.

If you bet on an outsider victory, for example, you will want to use less of your bankroll than if you bet your money on a clear favourite. If we believe that the bookmaker misjudges a match, then we will also adjust the bet size upwards in order to get the maximum out of the bet. In this case, please only set half a unit!

Of course, we measure our profit in units. If we write that we are 18 units up this season, it means that we have made an increase of 18 times the size of a unit. As your bankroll gradually becomes larger, the profit also increases with each unit as the units grow larger and larger. Patience and discipline are essential in bankroll management. Finding the safest bets is definitely the main objective of any bettor. Which bet is the safest depends on many factors.

Luck is one of them, of course. Minimizing the risk is the main task of a professional sports bettor, which is why one is on the safe side, especially with solid bankroll management. If you believe the bookies, a bet with odds 1. This is roughly equivalent to a home win for FC Bayern Munich against a non-league side.

But of course, this game is also not decided before it has kicked off. Something unexpected can always happen, no matter how certain the bet is and no matter how clear the game is. They exist — the games where almost everything can happen. If the outcome of a game after the preliminary analysis is subjectively so uncertain that you do not want to risk a bet on this game, this is called a no-bet.

There is one type of bet that is actually completely safe: the surebet. This is the only type of bet that you will definitely win. With a surebet you need accounts with different betting providers. Stakes are placed on all possible outcomes of a betting segment. One of the bets will always be won and thus the name surebet. Due to the differences in odds between different betting providers, there is definitely some profit in it.

The profit margin of a surebet is usually very low and high profits are only possible if you bet a lot of money. In addition, there is a great risk that the betting providers, which are known to be used as part of a surebet, strictly limit the outcomes or adjust the odds at short notice. Thus, there is always a certain residual risk even with a surebet tip. Even with some 3-way bets, it can happen that a surebet results from different odds with different betting providers.

The possible profit here is usually even lower. You see that the profits are very low. This, in turn, is difficult to set in most cases because many betting providers define a maximum stake or a maximum profit from a particular bet. You can always find the latest betting tips from the world of sports all over the Internet. Usually, these are substantiated with a reason and lead directly to the betting provider with the supposedly best odds. But can you rely on such tips? There is always a residual risk.

However, you can as well get inspiration from such sites, regardless of whether a pick is successful or not: the tipster who provided the tip to the people will of course have already thought about it substantially. However, everyone has to decide for themselves whether the thoughts behind the tip, which are often explained on these websites, follow the right approach and good arguments for the respective outcome of the game. Blindly relying on these will not be successful in the long run. However, such tips do offer a certain amount of inspiration.

Nevertheless, the same applies as always: nothing beats a good preliminary analysis and a clear strategy; and you always have to take care of that yourself. What is actually a value bet? You will come across this term again and again in the world of sports betting. It is simply a bet that you personally think is so likely that it has a certain value regarding the given odds.

This requires a probability that you determine, as well as the odds. Then, we work again according to the following formula:.

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