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But not so fast, there are two home dogs worthwatching in Week 3. Detroit is and in tough against a veryimpressive looking Philadelphia team while the Cincinnati Bengalsare up against the Baltimore Ravens. So what is it that powers the home dog? One is a feeling of disrespect. Do you really have a chance on Sunday? Players may not be bettingon games but they know when they are not being given a chanceto win whether it be from the media, fans, bettors or bookmakers and everyone loves to prove people wrong.
Another is a lack of pressure. Pressure does funny things to people. When ateam is not expected to win, sometimes they are able to enjoythe game and play their very best. Another possibility is that the road favorite is simply over confident. It is my opinion that the most important factor may simplybe that the betting public likes betting the road favorites somuch that the spreads move an extra point or more in favor ofthe home dog and this accounts for the higher win percentage.
Why do bettors love road favorites so much? Ithink it is simply a case of not taking home field advantage intoconsideration enough. Travel takes its toll. I say maybe because coaches sometimesactually put players up in hotels before important home gamesbecause they can sleep better without having to worry about wives,kids or pets. Weather and field conditions are sometimes a factor. While I cannot say that betting home dogs willgive you winning plays with statistical certainty, I can say withcertainty it will ensure you are betting against the bulk of bettorsand that is usually a key to getting value.
WouldBaltimore really have been a If you get 3. There is no suchthing as a trap. We simply put out the line we feel is right. When the road favorite wins Tennessee in week one , people thinkour line was weak. When the home dog wins like Cleveland , peoplethink our line was a trap.
We just put out the best line possibleand let the players on the field figure it out! These are: The odds offer Price The value of the odds overpriced or underpriced? The type of bet single, multiple, combination, etc. The odds offer has to be at least to make it worthwhile. If necessary, choose a selection with a slightly higher risk to prop up the price. The value of the odds must be such that the sportsbook's commission is to a minimum, if at all.
Some selections get 'steamed' unnecessarily. When this happens, the 'favorite' price lengthens. Take advantage of those situations. Three type of bets seem to stand out as a sensible combination to use because they are simple, not too difficult to win and have good winning potential: the Straight bet, the Doubles and the Future. Great gambling information site Use the " Main Menu " on the right margin to explore this site. This is a comprehensive gambling information site with advice on winning, how to gamble, betting strategy, the best online casinos , lots of gamblers information and a world land-based casinos directory.
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