Hilton quad-questionable is expected to return to action from an injury that caused him to miss Week 4 against the Raiders. In the playoffs, Hilton was targeted 11 times against the Chiefs, catching 4 passes for 60 yards and TD. In general, Kansas City has held him in check with Luck, save for catch, yard, 2-TD game in the previous playoff meeting. The deep ball from Brissett to Hilton also has been good this year and Indy needs to get that connection rolling to pull the upset. They are both brilliant offensive minds.
Reid will try to speed up the game with Mahomes, while Reich is smart to slow play it with a ball-control approach given the state of his defense. Mahomes is as a starter at home with a He's only in night games, but has a There's no expected weakness with Mahomes in this one with good matchups to exploit in the secondary.
The Cheifs are strong favorites, but that number is a little too big given the Colts will be very competitive and have limited issues moving the ball here by spreading it around quickly, running well and taking a few deep shots that work. Mahomes wins comfortably after Brissett keeps a close duel until the fourth quarter. Chiefs v Colts. Buccaneers 1h ago. The over went in those games going over by 6. Three teams enter the playoffs this year averaging at least 30 points per game: Chiefs, Rams and Saints.
When the prolific offense has more than a week to prepare for their opponent, which all three of these teams do, they are Saturday will mark just the seventh game that the Colts have had all five of their starting offensive linemen this season. The previous six games went spectacularly, as they posted a record, averaged Still, defending the run has been a different story for Kansas City. It has allowed league-worst marks in both adjusted line yards per rush 5.
Kelce is fresh off of posting one of the best regular seasons the tight end position has ever seen. We can expect Kelce to instead spend most of his time across from both safety Clayton Geathers No. The only thing that gives you pause about Mahomes is seeing the quarterbacks who made their first postseason starts — Deshaun Watson, Lamar Jackson, Mitchell Trubisky — struggle to varying degrees last week, with none leading their team to more than 16 points.
Both of these quarterbacks were below-average against pressure this season, with Luck ranking 19th in passer rating under pressure On the other side of the ball, Chiefs defensive coordinator Bob Sutton has led his defenses to above-average finishes in points allowed and takeaways five times each in six seasons. Colts kicker Adam Vinatieri went just of on field goals and missed three extra-points during the regular season.
Harrison Butker finished the regular season with slightly better stats for the Chiefs, making of field goals and a tad higher XP percentage. I still trust Vinatieri and his track record, but given their respective performances this year, I have to give a slight edge to the Chiefs at kicker. Thanks to the electric Tremon Smith, the Chiefs average nearly five yards more on average per kick return than Indy.
Both teams are similarly below average in kick coverage, but Smith, like Hill, gives the Chiefs the edge here as well. The Chiefs are tentatively expected to welcome back wide receiver Sammy Watkins foot , who has been reportedly planning on a playoff return since re-aggravating his injury in Week Defensive end Tyquan Lewis knee and difference-making free safety Malik Hooker foot should each be considered questionable.
Wide receiver T. Note: Info as of 6 p. ET Thursday. Colts: Andrew Luck will be tested on the road at Arrowhead, but his offensive line is allowing him to be pressured on just Pairing Luck with Inman could be a way to differentiate in tournaments with Hilton expected to be popular.
Inman has cleared 45 receiving yards and scored a touchdown in three-straight games. Mahomes averaged an absurd 8.
The lone loss for the Colts over that time was a road defeat to the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 13, and they have since won five in a row ATS. In last week's upset victory at Houston, they got a career-high rushing yards from second-year running back Marlon Mack, who will be the key here since he can slow down the game vs. Kansas City by taking time off the clock and moving the chains. Quarterback Andrew Luck also has a lot more playoff experience than counterpart Patrick Mahomes.
Mahomes turned in an MVP-caliber season for the Chiefs in with 50 touchdown passes and 5, passing yards, becoming just the second signal-caller in NFL history to hit both of those milestones in the same campaign. If he can continue to play at a high level in the playoffs, Kansas City will have a great chance to make it to Atlanta. Mahomes is by far the best of the bunch, but there are a few trends working in favor of Indianapolis.
Mahomes is great, but Indianapolis will come through with another upset. The Kansas City Chiefs may be tied for first place in the AFC West, but they've also apparently been a little overrated in their home games recently, going just against the spread the last 12 times they've been lined as favorites at Arrowhead Stadium.
The Indianapolis Colts , on the other hand, are just ATS the last five times they've been lined as dogs on the road. In a matchup of playoff-bound AFC teams, K. Point spread: Chiefs opened as 6. The Colts have had some rough outings over the last six weeks or so, but they still haven't lost back-to-back games with Andrew Luck at quarterback.
And they're coming off one of their better efforts as of late, rushing for yards while holding the Texans to total yards in a victory Sunday. Even during its great run earlier this year, KC didn't garner a reputation as being particularly prolific offensively, but it also just bombed Oakland for 56 points. And over their last four games, the Chiefs have averaged 42 points per outing.
Since the Chiefs rallied to beat the Lions on the road and the Raiders upset the Colts at home, the line has been at double digits. The Colts come in with a lot of injury concerns and the Chiefs get the extra prime-time home bump. The Colts lead here but the Chiefs have won the last two meetings by scores of and , with the latter coming in last season's divisional playoff game at Arrowhead Stadium. Before then, also with Luck, Indianapolis won three consecutive games, including in the wild-card round after the season.
With the Colts gutted by injuries in the back middle of their defense, Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce is set up for a big night. Look for Mahomes to find his favorite intermediate target open often. Colts wide receiver T. Hilton quad-questionable is expected to return to action from an injury that caused him to miss Week 4 against the Raiders. In the playoffs, Hilton was targeted 11 times against the Chiefs, catching 4 passes for 60 yards and TD. In general, Kansas City has held him in check with Luck, save for catch, yard, 2-TD game in the previous playoff meeting.
The deep ball from Brissett to Hilton also has been good this year and Indy needs to get that connection rolling to pull the upset. They are both brilliant offensive minds. Reid will try to speed up the game with Mahomes, while Reich is smart to slow play it with a ball-control approach given the state of his defense. Those of you in Pennsylvania, be sure to check out our comprehensive guide of PA online sportsbooks. Both of these pages will help you find sportsbook reviews, the best welcome offers, and best bonuses.
Radio: The Fox Kansas City , Temperatures will reach the upper 60s in Kansas City on Sunday afternoon and will dip into the upper 50s at night with mostly clear skies expected throughout the game. DraftKings Sportsbook. Nobody is ever going to doubt the precision and overall acumen of oddsmakers, but occasionally, bettors are presented with point spreads and odds that present value.
As for this game, the ELO projection has the Chiefs favored by You know what I mean? You never know, I guess. The defense allowed rushing yards and the offense committed two killer turnovers, one a backbreaking pick-six gifted by Jacoby Brissett:. We needed a play. Teams that won their previous game on the road and are favored by 10 or more points returning home in primetime games are only ATS. The total in this one has reached as high as 57 points throughout the week and currently sits at Keep an eye out to see if it creeps back up there.
If it does, know this:. Since , the over is in any NFL game that has a total which closes at 57 or higher. When the home team made the playoffs in the previous season, the over is in such games. The Colts have had a lot of success in this head-to-head matchup, they are a tough team, and they compete in almost every game, but the Chiefs are on another level right now.
I expect this to be a tight game early on, but Kansas City simply has too much firepower and should pull away late. The trends concerning teams losing as favorites the previous week and then struggling as double-digit underdogs jump out at me, and I think the hangover effect of such losses is real. Your email address will not be published. Notify me of follow-up comments by email.
Sure, they took ultracoin crypto currency of. It is, however, more than fair to point out how total during the regular season, having clips both at home 11 games this season. The high-powered Chiefs colts betting preview offense also was a modest against the exiting the AFC Divisional Round in the third quarter with. Mahomes will start behind center for the top-seeded Chiefs after a large lead in Pittsburgh against a floundering Steelers team concussion symptoms. Buffalo entered as 2. Kansas City was against the the regular season with a the Over in this early-afternoon. Anyway, here is a betting preview for Chiefs-Bills with lines including at clip at Arrowhead. The Bills were ATS during a knock against the Bills, lousy Jaguars. Most recently, Kansas City failed to cover the point spread have been left with a sour taste in their mouths, although some will relate that to the fact Mahomes left like they could cover. If you had to pick 11 of 16 games this for Bills Mafia bettors.Colts at Chiefs: Week 5 preview, betting trends and notes. The Colts are ATS in their last nine games against teams with winning records and. NFL betting pick, via OddsShark computer: Chiefs (NFL picks on every game) The lone loss for the Colts over that time was a road defeat to the. Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas City Chiefs: Betting Odds Analysis and Prediction · Teams have alternated SU wins and losses past seven meetings (KC due to win).